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Florida Real Estate Newsletter - April 2026 📈

Real Estate

Tampa Bay Housing Market Update

The Big Story

Florida Statewide Market Overview | March 2026

Florida’s housing market continued its steady improvement as we moved into the spring buying season, with March and first quarter data showing encouraging momentum across the state.

Closed sales of single family homes increased for the seventh consecutive month in March, rising close to 6% year over year. For the first quarter overall, sales were up just over 5%, reflecting a continued recovery from slower activity last year. The condo and townhouse market showed even stronger gains, with March sales up 12% year over year and first quarter sales increasing 9%.

A key driver behind this improvement has been mortgage rates. While rates moved higher toward the end of March, they remained below where they were a year ago, helping support buyer activity throughout much of the first quarter.

Pending sales continue to signal underlying demand, though at a more moderate pace. New pending sales of single family homes rose 3.3% year over year in March, while condos and townhouses saw stronger growth of more than 9.5%. While rising rates may create some hesitation for certain buyers, improving incomes and life driven housing needs are continuing to support overall demand.

On the supply side, new listings declined compared to last year but are aligning more closely with typical seasonal patterns. Single family new listings were down nearly 10% year over year, while condo and townhouse listings fell more than 13%. As a result, inventory levels also declined, with single family inventory down over 10.5% and condo and townhouse inventory down more than 11% compared to a year ago.

With inventory tightening, pricing has shown signs of stabilization and modest upward pressure. The median sale price for single family homes rose slightly by less than 2% year over year to $420,000, marking the first annual increase in over a year. Condo and townhouse prices remained flat at $315,000, reflecting a more balanced environment after a period of price declines.

Overall, Florida’s housing market continues to move in a positive direction at a measured pace. Sales are trending upward, inventory has stabilized, and pricing remains relatively balanced as we head further into the spring market.. As always, local market conditions can vary, making it important to evaluate trends at the neighborhood level. If you’d like to explore what these trends mean for your real estate goals, whether you’re buying, selling, or just keeping an eye on the market, I'm always here to help!

Florida Data

 

Local Lowdown

Quick Take — March 2026 Market Overview

The Tampa–St. Petersburg–Clearwater MSA housing market in March 2026 reflects a continued move toward balance as we enter the spring season. Inventory levels remain elevated compared to last year in the condo and townhome segment, while single family inventory has tightened slightly. Pricing remains steady overall, with single family homes holding firm and condos showing modest appreciation. Compared to earlier in the year, buyer activity is improving, particularly in the multifamily segment.

In the single family home segment, the median sale price held steady at $400,000 with no change year over year, reinforcing price stability despite shifting conditions. Inventory declined to 3.7 months from 4.0 months last year, indicating a slightly tighter market than recent months. Homes are going under contract in 43 days, up from 37 days a year ago but still moving efficiently. New listings declined 17%, and closed sales were down 2.0%, suggesting limited supply continues to constrain overall activity.

The condo and townhome segment continues to show a different dynamic, with higher inventory and improving buyer absorption. The median sale price increased 1.8% year over year to $279,900. Inventory rose to 6.9 months from 6.4 months last year, keeping this segment more favorable for buyers. Time to contract extended to 58 days, reflecting a slower pace. However, closed sales jumped 13%, signaling stronger demand compared to earlier in the year, even as new listings declined 13%.

Single Family Homes:

  • Months Supply of Inventory: 3.7 months, down from 4.0 months in March 2025, indicating a slightly tighter market and improvement from earlier this year.
  • Median Sale Price: $400,000, unchanged year over year, showing continued price stability.
  • Median Percentage of Original List Price Received: 96.0%, down from 96.3% last year, remaining strong overall.
  • Median Time to Contract: 43 days, up from 37 days a year ago, but still relatively efficient compared to recent months.
  • New Listings: 4,528, down 17% year over year, contributing to tighter inventory conditions.
  • Closed Sales: 3,618, down 2.0% year over year, but up from 2,564 from last month, reflecting a notable increase in activity as we move into the spring market.

Townhomes and Condos:

  • Months Supply of Inventory: 6.9 months, up from 6.4 months in March 2025, continuing to favor buyers.
  • Median Sale Price: $279,900, up 1.8% year over year, showing modest price growth.
  • Median Percentage of Original List Price Received: 93.8%, down from 94.4% last year, indicating continued negotiation.
  • Median Time to Contract: 58 days, up from 54 days a year ago, reflecting a slower pace.
  • New Listings: 1,816, down 13% year over year, showing some pullback in seller activity.
  • Closed Sales: 1,283, up 13% year over year, signaling improving demand and absorption.

Bottom line: March signals a market that is finding its footing heading into the spring season. Single family homes remain relatively tight with stable pricing, while the condo and townhome segment continues to offer more opportunities for buyers, even as demand begins to pick back up. Sellers need to stay sharp on pricing, while buyers are starting to see more activity and competition return, especially in well positioned properties.

Whether you're actively buying or selling, or just keeping an eye on the market, we're here to provide clear, timely insight tailored to your goals.
 
Each month, I share a quick update on what’s happening across Florida’s housing market, both statewide and locally, so you can stay informed and make confident decisions. If you’re curious how these trends might affect your plans, or just want to talk strategy, I’d love to connect.

 

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